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You can make a terrific investment in a place that other people aren’t looking at. In fact that might be where you could make the best investment. Whether you’re looking to put down roots with a family home or to rent out your purchase for yield, these cities offer two things anyone making a home investment should be after: affordability and growth. To find out where you can get the most bang for your housing buck this year, Forbes teamed up with Local Market Monitor, a North Carolina-based company that tracks more than 300 housing markets. For each market CEO Ingo Wizner analyzed housing indicators as well as broader growth trends. Traders looking for quick cash should look elsewhere.
Exxon Mobil and the Dallas Cowboys claims the no. 2020 thanks in part to 3. Florida holds on: Four cities in the Sunshine State made the list, the most of any state, and all are in the top 10. 3, West Palm Beach at no.
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Winzer says that Florida’s continued strength is the biggest surprise of the list. Texas on top: The Lone Star State not only holds the top spot on our 2017 list but the second most spots overall, with Forth Worth at no. 9 and San Antonio at 20. The recession and housing crisis did not hit Texas quite as hard as the rest of the country, meaning it came back quicker and has been adding jobs longer and faster than the rest of the country. Boston bucks coastal crush: Perennially absent from this list are the major California markets San Francisco and Los Angeles, as well as East Coast megacities New York and Washington D. Scarcity has made these places too expensive to be top investments.
16, is a notable exception this year. Notable new comers: Cities that did not make it in 2016 dominate the back half of our 2017 list, including no. Bargain hunters beware: The post-crisis days when investors could scoop up a bundle of foreclosed or flagging homes at giveaway prices are largely behind us. Winzer, pointing to small Midwestern markets after factory closures.
People are still living there, their house isn’t worth a whole lot, but it is never going to be worth a whole lot because that factory is not coming back. To compile this list Winzer began with 330 markets. Local Market Monitor’s own three-year home price forecast, which we used to rank the list this year. Those last two metrics—affordability and price forecast—are the most important. Dozens of metrics, ranging from unemployment to demand for real estate, go into Local Market Monitor’s three-year price forecast, but the special sauce varies from year to year. To judge affordability Winzer uses a measure of home price versus income price.
That is the real current average home price in a market versus what that price would be if the historic relationship between home prices and income held for that market. For example, in Grand Rapids, Mich. 6 times the local per capita income. Historically, however, homes sell in Grand Rapids fir about 4 times local income. While being underpriced is a positive for people buying in a city where the economy is growing, like Grand Rapids, it can be a big negative in places without growth on the horizon. Generally in markets where income is above average, prices are also above average and vice versa.